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AI Boom Bolstered Growth in Global Trade,  Benefiting China and India, IMF Says - BusinessWorld Online

The IMF said AI-related trade grew 29% and helped lift global trade and growth, while concentrated supply chains and cybersecurity risks remain a concern.

  • On Tuesday, IMF chief economist Silvana Tenreyro said strong demand for AI has bolstered growth in China, India, and other Asian countries, significantly outpacing overall global trade growth.
  • Global trade grew 8.3% between 2023 and 2025, while AI-related trade surged 29%; without this boost, overall growth would have been only 4.6%, Tenreyro noted.
  • Tenreyro warned that AI supply chains remain highly concentrated in specific sectors, creating chokepoints, while cybersecurity threats and market corrections pose significant financial stability risks.
  • At the annual meetings of the IMF and World Bank in Bangkok, Tenreyro stated, "It's basically an unwind of this boom that we are seeing," urging central bankers to raise interest rates.
  • The IMF's baseline forecast assumes the AI boom will dissipate over time; if the trend persists without productivity gains, growth benefits could shrink while inflation pressures rise.
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WTVB broke the news on Monday, October 12, 2026.
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