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A Mysterious Asteroid Is Accelerating in Space, And We're Running Out of Explanations
Researchers say the asteroid’s surface stays too warm for buried ice, leaving sunlight pressure as a leading explanation for its odd motion.
Georgia Institute of Technology researchers concluded that 1998 KY26 is likely a "dehydrated asteroid" after thermal modeling showed the 11-meter space rock is too warm to retain buried ice needed for propulsion.
Scientists previously hypothesized KY26 was a "dark comet" because it exhibits unusual acceleration perpendicular to its orbital plane, suggesting the object vented hidden water vapor to subtly push itself off course.
Aerospace engineers Korbin Hansen and Masatoshi Hirabayashi found even the coldest regions averaged at least 212 Kelvin across the asteroid's orbit. At these temperatures, any buried water ice would disappear in just over 2,000 years.
If water ice were responsible for the asteroid's unusual acceleration, it would have depleted in just 62 years. The findings challenge the "dark comet" hypothesis, leaving the cause of KY26's mysterious movement unresolved.
The Japanese space agency's Hayabusa2 spacecraft is traveling toward the 186 million-mile-distant object for a July 2031 rendezvous that may clarify its movement. Other theories for acceleration include solar radiation pressure.