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Finland Sets Out Four Scenarios for Russia by 2045, Urges Europe to Prepare

Finland and Europe must prepare for several possible futures for Russia rather than base their security planning on a single outcome, a joint Finnish government study concludes.

5 Articles

Center

So many factors affect Russia's future that Finland must prepare for very different scenarios.

·Helsinki, Finland
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Center

This is a joint project between ministries that outlines the future visions of our eastern neighbor.

·Helsinki, Finland
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A sudden power struggle in the Kremlin after Vladimir Putin disappears, a violent coup led by the Russian security service, or a crumbling country where traumatized war veterans form criminal armies. These are not the plots of a spy novel, but hypothetical examples in a new report from three ministries.

Finland and Europe must prepare for several possible futures for Russia simultaneously. This is the key conclusion of the foresight project "Futures of Russia" by the Ministries of Defence, the Interior and Foreign Affairs, which is being published today. The report outlines four alternative development paths for Russia by 2045. The article Ministries: Finland must prepare for different perspectives for the future of Russia was first published o…

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Ilta-Sanomat broke the news in Helsinki, Finland on Tuesday, October 6, 2026.
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