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2026 ‘most likely’ to be second-hottest year on record: EU monitor

Copernicus said a strong El Niño is amplifying human-driven warming, with a 20% chance 2026 could match or beat 2024.

  • On Friday, the Copernicus Climate Change Service reported that 2026 is "virtually certain" to exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels, making it the second-hottest year on record after 2024.
  • Samantha Burgess, Strategic Lead for Climate at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, said an "exceptionally strong El Niño" is adding heat to a climate already warmed by human activities.
  • October 2026 was the warmest October on record globally, with average global surface air temperature 1.75°C above pre-industrial levels, while sea surface temperatures also reached record highs.
  • Nations gather Monday in Turkey for the two-week COP31 climate summit, following a year marked by deadly floods in Nepal and major wildfires in Indonesia.
  • While a single year above 1.5°C does not breach the Paris Agreement, which targets long-term averages, scientists warn that any "overshoot" increases risks of severe heatwaves and floods.
Insights by Ground AI

136 Articles

Lean Right

The European Union's "Copernicus" Observatory, today Friday, reported that 2026 is likely to be the second freest year since the data began, given the worsening global warming caused by human activities by this year's exceptionally severe El Niño climate phenomenon. The Observatory on Climate Change, in its monthly publication, indicated that 20 per cent might be 20 per cent equal to or greater than the 2024 temperature level, becoming the most …

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Lean Left

Global temperatures reached record levels in October, boosted by the El Niño phenomenon and human-induced climate change.

·Montreal, Canada
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Lean Left

The year 2026 is expected to rank as the second hottest year ever recorded, as the El Nino climate phenomenon is amplifying global warming caused by human activity. The warning comes from the European Union's Climate Change Service, Copernicus. According to data published by this institution, there is a 20% chance that global temperatures during 2026 will equal or exceed the record of 2024, which remains the hottest year on record so far. Copern…

Center

October 2026 was, globally, the hottest October ever recorded, with an average temperature of 1.75 degrees Celsius above the pre-industrial level (1850-1900). This is known by the EU's weather service, Copernicus. (ANSA)

·Rome, Italy
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Lean Right

Analysis indicates that October was the third consecutive month to exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. 2026 on the way to becoming the second warmest year ever, after 2024.

·Lisboa, Portugal
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Reuters broke the news in London, United Kingdom on Friday, November 6, 2026.
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