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Top Grumpy-economist.com News

Donald Trump’s plans for Fannie and Freddie would mean payday for hedge funds

Donald Trump · United States

Donald Trump’s plans for Fannie and Freddie would mean payday for hedge funds

63% Left coverage: 8 sources

Critics warn privatisation of the mortgage giants would enrich Wall St but endanger the housing market See the Story

Maybe the price puzzle and NK model are right after all

Inflation · Amherst

Maybe the price puzzle and NK model are right after all

I recently ran in to a lovely paper by Neil White at Amherst, “The new Keynesian Price Puzzle: Reinterpreting Inflation Dynamics.” This post is closely related to my last one on the Lucas Phillips curve and that line of work. Here is White’s Figure 1. These are four famous VARs that measure the effects of monetary policy. On the left you can see how the Federal Funds Rate responds to a shock. Conceptually, suppose the Fed wakes up one day, raise…Read Article

Hoover Monetary Policy and Taylor Conference

Stanford · Stanford

Hoover Monetary Policy and Taylor Conference

May 9 we had the Hoover Monetary Policy conference, and this year it was combined with a conference in honor of John Taylor. The conference videos transcripts and slides are now up here, while the John Taylor celebration videos, slides, and transcripts are here. and I post to draw your attention to them. I thought most of the presentations were superb. And look at the great line up of presenters! I’ll just point out a few memorable highlights. T…Read Article

Resurrecting the Lucas Phillips Curve

I’ve been remiss about writing here, as I worked full time to finish a new paper. Here it is: Inflation Dynamics with a Generalized Lucas Phillips Curve. It’s a small step in a research program laid out in “Expectations and the Neutrality of Interest Rates.” There is a chasm between the near uniform beliefs of central bankers, policy analysts, and economists vs. the actual operation of standard economic models in use for 35 years—the new-Keynesi…United States · United States Read Article

Tariffs, saving, and investment

I haven’t written much about tariffs, because so many other economists are doing such a great job. Tariffs are easy: The right answer is unilateral free trade. Tariffs are hard: The rest is explaining why 100 objections are wrong. I’ll get there. One aspect is less clear than the others: the whole business about saving, investment, “reserve currency” and so forth. Most economists reacted in horror at CEA chair Stephen Miran’s essay claiming that…Tariffs · United States Read Article

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