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With NASCAR Championship in Sight, Kyle Larson Isn’t Expecting an Early Clinch at Martinsville
Larson leads Denny Hamlin by 73 points and can secure the title with a strong finish as only seven Chase drivers remain eligible.
On Sunday, November 1, 2026, Kyle Larson could clinch the NASCAR Cup Series championship at Martinsville Speedway with a 77-point margin over Denny Hamlin. Entering the race, Larson leads by 73 points.
This year's return of the Chase format allows early championship clinching, a feat not seen since Matt Kenseth in 2003. Larson has finished ninth or better in his last eight races at Martinsville.
Analytics firm Racing Insights lists Larson as a 92.3% favorite to win the championship this season. To guarantee the title, the Hendrick Motorsports driver needs to score 59 points during Sunday's race.
Christopher Bell, trailing by 74 points, described his approach as "throwing Hail Marys" to win the final two races. Rivals including Hamlin, Bell, and Chase Briscoe remain mathematically eligible to challenge Larson.
If the championship remains undecided, Homestead-Miami Speedway will host the season finale on November 8. Larson aims for his second consecutive Cup title, potentially matching Jimmie Johnson's five-win streak from 2006-10.