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‘Too high’: Inflation is not where it should be admit RBA bosses

Core inflation stayed above the RBA's target band as petrol and housing costs pushed annual price growth higher, strengthening bets on another rate hike.

  • On Wednesday, October 28, the Australian Bureau of Statistics reported annual headline inflation rose to 4.3% in September, cementing market expectations for a fifth interest rate hike on Melbourne Cup Day, November 3.
  • Automotive fuel prices jumped 9.4% in September while annual housing costs rose 5.2%, reflecting global oil pressures and domestic capacity constraints impacting households already struggling with rising living costs.
  • Treasurer Jim Chalmers defended government fiscal settings as not a 'primary driver' of inflation, despite opposition accusations of a 'spending addiction,' while Treasury Secretary Jenny Wilkinson cited Middle East conflict as complicating the outlook.
  • Investors assign an 87 per cent probability to a fifth interest rate hike on Tuesday, which would lift the cash rate to 4.85%, the highest in about 18 years, reflecting strong market expectations for Reserve Bank of Australia action.
  • Consultancy Cotality reported property values slid for the seventh straight month in October, adding to household financial stress as borrowers prepare for further repayment increases following the expected central bank decision.
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Newcastle HeraldNewcastle Herald
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The Canberra TimesThe Canberra Times
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November rate hike a lock after 'ugly' inflation result

All four of Australia's big banks are betting on a Melbourne Cup day rate rise after hot inflation...

·Newcastle, Australia
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Australian Financial Review broke the news in Sydney, Australia on Monday, October 26, 2026.
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