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Japan panel says 'megaquake' probability up to 82%

  • A Japanese government panel has raised the estimated probability of a 'megaquake' to up to 82 percent in the next 30 years.
  • The Earthquake Research Committee increased its estimate from between 74 and 81 percent to between 75 and 82 percent.
  • Over the past 1,400 years, megaquakes in the Nankai Trough have occurred every 100 to 200 years, according to the government's Headquarters for Earthquake Research Promotion.
  • An official stated that 'it's been 79 years since the last quake, and the possibility of another quake occurring is rising every year at a pace of about 1 percent.
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  • 43% of the sources are Center
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