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Midterms 2026: The Balance of Power
Democrats need gains in both chambers to blunt President Donald Trump’s agenda, while analysts say Republicans face a midterm history of losses.
In WASHINGTON, Democrats are targeting control of the House and Senate for the 2026 midterms to reshape President Donald Trump's legislative agenda, while Republicans currently hold 53 Senate seats and 218 House seats.
Political analyst Todd Belt reports projections show Democrats gaining 15 or more House seats, with the Senate well within reach if they gain four seats and hold battleground states like Michigan, Georgia, and New Hampshire.
Amid voter frustration over inflation and the ongoing war in Iran, President Trump has been actively campaigning in Republican strongholds like Alaska and Texas to bolster turnout. Belt said, "Donald Trump is going to places he has no business going to."
Even if Democrats take the Senate, Belt warns they are unlikely to secure the 60 votes needed to overcome a filibuster, as analysts warn a divided government could lead to increased political gridlock on Capitol Hill.
The previous Congress produced only "one major piece of legislation," the One Big Beautiful Bill, Belt noted; if Democrats win one or two chambers, he suggested they will be lucky to keep the government funded.