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Lula Maintains Lead over Flavio Bolsonaro Ahead of Brazil Election, Datafolha Poll Shows

Datafolha said Lula led Flavio Bolsonaro 46% to 44% in a potential runoff, with no change from last week’s survey of 2,002 voters.

  • On Friday, a Datafolha poll indicated Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva maintains a numerical lead over Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in a potential runoff, with 46% of the vote against 44% for the senator.
  • Datafolha surveyed 2,002 people between September 8-10 to gauge voter sentiment for the upcoming October presidential election, with a margin of error of two percentage points.
  • In a first-round scenario, Lula leads with 39% of the vote, followed by Bolsonaro at 35%, Augusto Cury at 6%, and Ronaldo Caiado at 4%.
  • These figures remained unchanged from the previous poll last week, reflecting steady voter support as the campaign continues toward the October ballot.
  • Should no candidate secure more than 50% of valid votes in the first round, the two frontrunners will advance to a runoff, which has occurred in every presidential election since 2002.
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Center

Lula maintains lead over Flavio Bolsonaro ahead of Brazil election ...

·London, United Kingdom
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Lean Right

Research Datasheet released on Friday (11) shows that President Lula (PT) appears with 46% of the voting intentions, while Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) has 44% in any 2nd round of the presidential election. The result is the same as the previous poll, released on September 3. The survey was commissioned by Globo and the newspaper Folha de S.Paulo. The Datasheet tested five scenarios, in which Lula also faces the candidates Ronaldo Caiado (PSD),…

·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
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Lean Left

Cury has 6%, followed by Caiado (4%), Renan Santos (3%) and Zema (2%)

·São Paulo, Brazil
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Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva maintains a narrow lead over Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in a new Datafolha poll for a possible runoff in October's presidential election. A recent AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll also found a narrow gap between the two candidates.

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The new research Datafolha shows the president Lula (PT) in the leadership of the dispute by the presidency of the Republic. The petist appears...

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UOL broke the news in São Paulo, Brazil on Friday, September 11, 2026.
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