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Right-Wing Bolsonaro Overtakes Socialist Lula On Polymarket As Brazil Election Nears

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DisclaimerRead with caution - this story is only being covered by one news source that has a ‘low factuality’ rating, which means the outlet has a history of poor reporting practices. Learn more about factuality ratings here.

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The senator and presidential candidate Flávio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ) appears ahead of President Lula (PT) in the Polymarket estimates for the October elections. On the afternoon of Thursday (10), the platform indicated 52% chance of victory for Flávio, against 45% for Lula. Renan Santos (Mission) appeared with 2% chance. Ronaldo Caiado (PSD),

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Flávio Bolsonaro overtakes Lula on Polymarket ahead of Brazil election

Flvio Bolsonaro's lead on Polymarket suggests shifting political dynamics in Brazil, potentially impacting future policy directions and alliances.

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Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) came to appear numerically ahead of President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) in the Polymarket, a forecast market platform that accompanies the probabilities attributed by the participants to the presidential election of 2026. At a time recorded on Thursday (10), Flávio appeared with 47.8%, while Lula had 47%. The [...]

Polymarket works as a forecast market where users buy and sell contracts about the outcome of future events. Read on Power360.

Digital platform for forecasting markets, which does not follow methodological criteria and is prohibited in Brazil, presents the senator with a 52% probability of becoming the next president, surpassing Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT), who records 45%

·São Paulo, Brazil
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Revista Oeste broke the news on Thursday, September 10, 2026.
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