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Fidelity: Bitcoin's Correlation With Real Treasury Yields Hits Record 0.6

Summary by TFTC
Fidelity Digital Assets research published October 15, 2026 finds Bitcoin's correlation with the 10-year real US Treasury yield has climbed above 0.6, a record high that flips a historically near-zero or negative relationship. The number is not a paradox. It is a fiscal stress signal.
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A study by Fidelity Digital Assets identifies a correlation of more than 0.6 between Bitcoin’s capitalization and the real rates of 10-year Treasury bonds. The turn coincides with the advance of US debt and raises questions about the hedges and portfolio models that actually took a different behavior.

The correlation between Bitcoin and Treasury USA, measured on real returns, reached a positive record above 0,6, according to a research by Fidelity Digital Assets published on October 15, 2026. The figure calls into question the role of Bitcoin in portfolios. Historically the link with the real returns of US government bonds was weak [...]

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TFTC broke the news on Thursday, October 15, 2026.
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