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Lula Maintains Lead over Flavio Bolsonaro Ahead of Brazil Election, Datafolha Poll Shows

Datafolha found Lula ahead 46% to 44% in a potential runoff, while 2,002 voters surveyed this week showed no change from last week.

  • On Friday, a Datafolha poll showed Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva maintaining a numerical lead over Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in a potential October election runoff, with Lula at 46% against 44% for the senator.
  • Because no candidate has secured more than 50% of valid votes in the first round since 2002, the two frontrunners advance to a runoff; Lula leads with 39% compared to 35% for Bolsonaro in first-round scenarios.
  • Augusto Cury tracks at 6% and Ronaldo Caiado at 4% in the first round. Datafolha surveyed 2,002 people between September 8-10 with a margin of error of two percentage points.
  • On September 7, President Lula attended the Independence Day parade in Brasilia, a public appearance coinciding with the latest survey indicating the race remains tight between him and Flavio Bolsonaro.
  • The figures remained unchanged from the previous poll last week, and the margin of error stands at two percentage points, indicating a stable race as Brazil approaches the October election.
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+2 Reposted by 2 other sources
Center

Lula maintains lead over Flavio Bolsonaro ahead of Brazil election ...

·London, United Kingdom
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Lean Right

Research Datasheet released on Friday (11) shows that President Lula (PT) appears with 46% of the voting intentions, while Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) has 44% in any 2nd round of the presidential election. The result is the same as the previous poll, released on September 3. The survey was commissioned by Globo and the newspaper Folha de S.Paulo. The Datasheet tested five scenarios, in which Lula also faces the candidates Ronaldo Caiado (PSD),…

·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
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Lean Left

Cury has 6%, followed by Caiado (4%), Renan Santos (3%) and Zema (2%)

·São Paulo, Brazil
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The new research Datafolha shows the president Lula (PT) in the leadership of the dispute by the presidency of the Republic. The petist appears...

Lifting heard 2,002 voters across the national territory, from September 8 to 10. Read on Power360.

President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) are technically tied in a possible second round dispute by the Presidency of the Republic, according to Datafolha research released on Friday, 11. The petist records 46% of the voting intentions, while the parliamentarian has 44%. The difference of two points is within the margin of error of the survey, from two percentage points to more or less. The scenario remains the …

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Bias Distribution

  • 40% of the sources are Center, 40% of the sources lean Right
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UOL broke the news in São Paulo, Brazil on Friday, September 11, 2026.
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