Brazil’s Lula regains narrow edge over Bolsonaro in BTG/Nexus poll
The BTG Pactual/Nexus survey showed Lula ahead 47% to 46% in a runoff, with a 2-point margin of error.
- On Monday, Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula regained a slim lead over Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in a simulated runoff for next month's election, according to a BTG Pactual/Nexus poll, though the race remained statistically tied.
- In the first-round scenario, Lula leads with 42% of the vote while Bolsonaro follows at 37%, representing a shift from the previous survey where Lula polled at 39% and Bolsonaro at 35%.
- Should no candidate exceed 50% on October 4, a runoff occurs October 25, where the poll indicates Lula would secure 47% to Senator Flavio Bolsonaro's 46% in the simulated matchup.
- Nexus surveyed 2,003 people between September 11 and 13; despite the numerical shift, the race remains statistically tied given the poll's 2 percentage point margin of error.
- Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, the son of President Jair Bolsonaro, is considered market-friendly, and Brazilian assets rallied last week when he polled ahead of Lula for the first time since March.
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24 Articles
Brazil’s Lula regains narrow edge over Bolsonaro in BTG/Nexus poll
SAO PAULO, Sept 14 (Reuters) - Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva regained a slim lead over right-wing Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in a simulated runoff for next month's election, a BTG Pactual/Nexus poll showed on Monday, though the race rem...
Brazil's Lula regains narrow edge over Bolsonaro in BTG/Nexus poll
SAO PAULO, Sept 14 - Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva regained a slim lead over right-wing Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in a simulated runoff for next month's election, a BTG Pactual/Nexus poll showed on Monday, though the race remained statistically tied. Read more at straitstimes.com.
The petist reversed the trend of the previous week's uprising and now appears numerically ahead of the main opponent in the direct strike
Lula has 42% against 37% of Flavius in the first round; in the second, president marks 47% and senator 46%
Senator Flávio Bolsonaro grew up and reached the technical tie with President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in a second round simulation for the 2026 elections. According to BTG/Nexus poll released on Monday (14), Lula appears with 47% of voting intentions, against 46% of Flávio. As the margin of error is
Three weeks after the first round, President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva reappeared numerically in front of Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) in a possible second round, according to BTG/Nexus research released on Monday (14). Lula has 47% of voting intentions, against 46% of Flávio. The difference of one percentage point is within [...]
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Bias Distribution
- 34% of the sources lean Left, 33% of the sources are Center, 33% of the sources lean Right
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