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Aussie Shares Drop Ahead of Interest Rates Decision

Markets priced in an 87% chance of a Melbourne Cup rate hike as inflation stayed above the RBA’s target and mortgage pressure mounted.

  • On Wednesday, October 28, the Australian Bureau of Statistics reported annual headline inflation rose to 4.3% in September, cementing market expectations for a fifth interest rate hike by the Reserve Bank of Australia on November 3.
  • High fuel costs, which jumped 9.4% in September, alongside a 5.2% annual rise in housing costs, drove the headline inflation increase; Treasurer Jim Chalmers emphasized that global pressures and private sector demand remain the primary drivers.
  • Reserve Bank officials told a Senate Estimates hearing the figures were broadly expected but remain 'too high', while financial markets reacted immediately with the probability of a rate hike surging to 87 per cent.
  • Property values fell for the seventh consecutive month, declining 1.2% in October as rising interest rates eroded borrowing capacity, with property consultancy Cotality reporting national dwelling values down 6.7% since their March peak.
  • Amid persistent inflation risks, Governor Michele Bullock identified weak productivity growth as a 'fundamental challenge', and economists project interest rates may need to remain elevated well into 2027 to curb price pressures effectively.
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46 Articles

Sydney Morning HeraldSydney Morning Herald
+3 Reposted by 3 other sources
Lean Left

The rate rise that stops the economy? Fears of an RBA-induced recession

Markets and economists expect the Reserve Bank to push interest rates up to 4.85 per cent on Tuesday.

·North Sydney, Australia
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PerthNowPerthNow
+2 Reposted by 2 other sources
Center

Aussie shares drop ahead of interest rates decision

The local share market has tumbled on the back of a sharp Wall Street tech rout as anxious investors brace for another Reserve Bank rate hike on Tuesday.

·Osborne Park, Australia
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Australian Financial Review broke the news in Sydney, Australia on Monday, October 26, 2026.
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