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NFL predictions: How Jets vs. Patriots Week 11 Thursday Night Football matchup impacts season

The Patriots hold the largest Thursday Night Football spread this year due to stronger team performance and playoff stakes, with a 78.2% chance to win their division, SportsLine says.

  • On Thursday, the New England Patriots are 12.5-point favorites at Gillette Stadium in Week 11, marking the largest Thursday Night Football spread this year.
  • New England's 8-2 record and strength justify the spread, while New York's defense weakened after trading Sauce Gardner and Quinnen Williams and ranks 21st in yards per rush allowed.
  • With Rhamondre Stevenson out, TreVeyon Henderson, Patriots running back, is projected for around 20 total touches and 14+ carries, and he averaged 10.5 yards per carry last week while Drake Maye, Patriots quarterback, emerges as an MVP candidate.
  • According to the model, the Patriots cannot afford a loss on Thursday to secure the No. 1 AFC seed as SportsLine's Projection Model projects 12.1 wins and division odds of 80.8% with a win versus 59.4% with a loss.
  • Market signals show bettors expect the Patriots' spread to rise Thursday, with DraftKings offering $300 and BetMGM up to $1,500 for new users.
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Pittsburgh Post-Gazette broke the news in Pittsburgh, United States on Thursday, November 13, 2025.
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