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New NJ Governor Poll Shows Sherrill, Ciattarelli in Dead Heat Before Election Day

Democrat Mikie Sherrill leads Republican Jack Ciattarelli 49% to 48% in an Emerson College poll of 1,000 likely New Jersey voters with a 3-point margin of error.

  • On Oct. 25, Emerson College Polling found Democrat Mikie Sherrill leading Jack Ciattarelli 49% to 48% with 2% undecided; the survey was conducted Thursday among 1,000 likely New Jersey voters.
  • Governor Phil Murphy's low approval ratings help explain voter loyalties, with 97% of Murphy approvers backing Mikie Sherrill, 91% of disapprovers supporting Jack Ciattarelli, and 52% prioritizing the economy.
  • The poll shows a pronounced gender divide: men favor Ciattarelli by 16 points, women favor Sherrill by 18, with all candidates holding split favorability ratings, Spencer Kimball said.
  • With days to go before Election Day, late polls vary—Suffolk University finds Sherrill ahead by four points while Quinnipiac University shows an eight-point lead—illustrating divergent scenarios for New Jersey voters.
  • Undecided and neutral voters are pivotal as the pool tightens; Emerson College Polling shows 2% still undecided and party registration at 42.6% Democrats, 27.5% Republicans, 29.9% independents.
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Bias Distribution

  • 50% of the sources are Center, 50% of the sources lean Right
50% Right

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Telemundo New York (47) broke the news in on Thursday, October 30, 2025.
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