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Chief Meteorologist Mike Buresh Breaks Down the NOAA 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Outlook
NOAA says El Niño and competing climate factors could limit storm formation, with 55% odds of a below-average season.
- On Thursday, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration released its 2026 Atlantic hurricane season outlook, predicting a below-average year with 8 to 14 named storms, including 3 to 6 hurricanes.
- El Niño conditions are the primary driver of this forecast, as the weather pattern typically suppresses Atlantic tropical storm development by increasing vertical wind shear and weakening trade winds.
- National Weather Service Director Ken Graham cautioned that even in below-average years, "it only takes one storm to make for a very bad season," urging residents to maintain preparedness plans.
- NOAA is launching new technological tools this season, including an AI-based forecast model developed with Google DeepMind and Flood Inundation Mapping services expanding to nearly 100% of the U.S. population by late September.
- The season runs from June 1 to November 30, with forecasters highlighting continued risks from rapidly intensifying storms that can increase wind speeds by at least 35 mph within a 24-hour period.
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Carolina Coast OnlineBelow average hurricane season predicted in the Atlantic
June marks the beginning of the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 through November 30. Each year, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) releases a forecast outlining what to expect for the upcoming season. NOAA is predicting a below-normal hurricane season with 8-14 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher). 3-6 are forecast to become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 1-3 major hurricanes…
Coverage Details
Total News Sources17
Leaning Left3Leaning Right2Center7Last UpdatedBias Distribution58% Center
Bias Distribution
- 58% of the sources are Center
58% Center
L 25%
C 58%
R 17%
Factuality
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