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Michigan State Basketball vs. North Carolina Tipoff: Matchup Analysis and a Prediction

Both undefeated teams hold strong non-conference records with Michigan State averaging 7.5 made 3-pointers and North Carolina allowing 7.8 per game, setting a competitive matchup.

  • In a top‑20 neutral‑site matchup, the Fort Myers Tip‑Off hosts North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Michigan State Spartans at Suncoast Credit Union Arena, Fort Myers, Florida, tipping at 4:30 p.m. ET Thursday with both teams unbeaten.
  • After neutral wins over Arkansas and Kentucky, Michigan State Spartans bring momentum, while North Carolina Tar Heels' unbeaten run includes a signature win over Kansas and an 85-70 victory over St. Bonaventure.
  • Jaxon Kohler, Michigan State forward, averages 15.3 points and 9.5 rebounds, while North Carolina's defense allows just 35.7% on 2s, per KenPom.
  • Oddsmakers opened the moneyline with North Carolina +105 and Michigan State-125, with UNC +1.5 and MSU-1.5 on the spread; an expert pick projects a narrow Michigan State 77-73 win, while the UNDER 151.5 is flagged as value.
  • Historically, North Carolina holds a 13-5 edge in the series, and last season's 94-91 overtime game on Nov. 27 in Maui saw Michigan State make just four 3-pointers in 45 minutes.
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Jeremy Fears Jr. leads No. 11 Michigan State to victory over No. 16 North Carolina with 19 points

Jeremy Fears Jr. scored 19 points and No. 11 Michigan State pulled away to beat No. 16 North Carolina 74-58 In the Fort Myers Tip-Off.

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Longwood University Athletics broke the news in on Wednesday, November 26, 2025.
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