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India central bank cuts key rate, boosts liquidity to support 'goldilocks' economy

The Reserve Bank of India lowered the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.25% and injected ₹1,00,000 crore liquidity to support growth amid easing inflation and export challenges.

  • On December 5, 2025, the Reserve Bank of India announced a 25 basis-point repo rate cut to 5.25% and liquidity measures, including ₹100,000 crore OMO purchases and a $5 billion USD/INR swap, citing 'weakness in some key economic indicators' as the MPC voted unanimously.
  • Economic indicators revealed both rapid disinflation and mixed growth as average headline inflation hit 1.7% in Q2:2025-26 breaching the lower tolerance threshold, while real GDP rose 8.2% even as industrial activity fell to a 14-month low and outbound shipments slid 11.8% to $34.38 billion.
  • Backing the move, the RBI now projects CPI for 2025-26 at 2% and raised its FY26 GDP projection to 7.3%, 0.5% higher than before.
  • The MPC kept a neutral stance while transmission remains muted as there has not been a major pickup in bank lending despite earlier rate cuts this year.
  • Policy-Makers face external pressure as Washington's 50% tariff on Indian goods and New Delhi's GST rate cuts complicate global capital flows amid central bank divergence.
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The governor of the Indian central bank, Sanjay Malhotra, speaks of a rare Goldilocks moment - strong growth and almost nothing inflation - and raises estimates despite US duties to 50%. India takes advantage of the combination, rare for any advanced or emerging economy, of explosive growth and almost nothing inflation. The Reserve Bank of India announced a new cut in rates by a quarter of a point, bringing the benchmark to 5.25%. It is the four…

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U.S. News broke the news in New York, United States on Thursday, December 4, 2025.
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