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Fed's Waller's ready to axe 'easing bias,' says rate-cut talk now is 'crazy'

Waller said a rate hike is now as likely as a cut and cited rising inflation expectations after an Iran-war energy shock.

  • On Friday, Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said the central bank should drop its "easing bias" language, signaling that a rate hike is now as likely as a cut given persistent inflation risks.
  • Mounting inflation risks driven by the Iran-war energy shock prompted the shift; manufacturing input prices jumped to 84.6 while unemployment at 4.3 percent suggests labor weakness is no longer the dominant policy concern.
  • Pricing in contracts reflected a two-in-three chance of a quarter-point rate increase by October, as Waller warned that more inflation risks the Fed "getting behind the curve again," similar to 2021-2022.
  • The hawkish shift creates an immediate split inside the Federal Reserve Board just one day after President Donald Trump swore in Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve chair Thursday.
  • Policymakers gather June 17-18 for the first Federal Open Market Committee meeting under Warsh, where officials will weigh whether to remove "easing bias" language from their policy statement.
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The Corner broke the news on Thursday, May 21, 2026.
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