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Experts Release New Chiefs vs. Cowboys Thanksgiving Prediction Following Injury Updates to Patrick Mahomes and His Receiving Corps

The Cowboys’ defense under Matt Eberflus challenges a struggling Chiefs offense as both teams fight for playoff survival, with ESPN giving Kansas City a 63.6% chance to win.

  • On Thanksgiving Day, the Chiefs and Dallas Cowboys kick off at 4:30 p.m. as Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes faces a tough Dallas defense while the Chiefs fight to secure a playoff spot.
  • Dallas enters the game with momentum after a huge win over the defending champion Philadelphia Eagles last week and holds a 5-5-1 record, boosting national TV audiences and ratings.
  • On the Chiefs' side, Kansas City sits at 6-5 after an overtime win that may have saved their season, while Patrick Mahomes posted a 73 completion percentage and averaged over 29 points per game in October but the team is 1-2 in November.
  • ESPN projects the Kansas City Chiefs hold a 63.6 percent chance to win Thursday as a Thanksgiving victory would boost both teams' playoff chances amid record TV audience predictions.
  • Commentators have argued Patrick Mahomes is the expected solution, with Stephen A. Smith saying `Patrick Mahomes is the answer` and stars driving potential record ratings and NFL history.
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  • 89% of the sources are Center
89% Center

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Sportsnet broke the news in Canada on Wednesday, November 26, 2025.
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