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CBO Says Foreign Companies Could Pick up some Tariff Costs

The Congressional Budget Office reports tariff-driven deficit cuts of $3 trillion over the next decade, $1 trillion less than previously forecast due to lower-than-expected tariff revenues.

  • On Thursday, the Congressional Budget Office said the U.S. tariffs placed between January 6 and November 15 will cut primary deficits by $2.5 trillion over the next decade, $1 trillion less than earlier estimates.
  • New collection data and rate cuts prompted a revision restoring the June projection after the August revision, reflecting tariff collection data and rate reductions for China and some food products.
  • CBO calculations show the deficit as share of GDP fell from 6.3% in fiscal 2024 to 5.9% in fiscal 2025, a 0.4 percentage point drop, while fiscal-year accounting shows the deficit did not fall by 25%.
  • Taking a trillion dollars off the table may complicate funding for President Donald Trump's $2,000 tariff dividend checks, which Senate Republicans oppose and a Supreme Court legal challenge could undercut.
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  • 38% of the sources are Center
38% Center

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Axios broke the news in Washington, United States on Thursday, November 20, 2025.
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