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Bihar Exit Polls Stir Debate: Predictions vs. Reality

Exit polls predict NDA will win between 133 and 167 seats in Bihar's 243-member assembly, indicating a clear majority ahead of official vote counting on Nov 14.

  • On Tuesday , nine exit polls projected a decisive majority for the National Democratic Alliance , though Congress MP Tariq Anwar called this forecast speculative.
  • Counting of votes will take place on November 14, after which the Election Commission will declare official results; exit polls are post-voting surveys reflecting voter sentiment before results.
  • Several polls — Matrize, People’s Insight, Chanakya Strategies, JVC, TIF Research-NAI, DV Research — show NDA seat ranges like 147-167, 133-148, and 135-150, indicating a broad NDA advantage.
  • A majority requires 122 seats, with the 2020 assembly polls showing NDA secured 125 seats and Mahagathbandhan 110, deciding if Nitish Kumar retains power or Tejashwi Yadav mounts a comeback.
  • Given 2020’s mispredictions, voter turnout of 64.69% on November 6 and 68.52% on November 11 highlight high participation, despite exit-poll uncertainty, as the Election Commission cautions.
Insights by Ground AI

25 Articles

Lean Right

According to the average poll of eight major agencies, the NDA could win around 147 seats, well above the majority mark of 122. This means that Nitish Kumar and the BJP alliance are heading towards another term.

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Bias Distribution

  • 60% of the sources lean Right
60% Right

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Times of India broke the news in India on Tuesday, November 11, 2025.
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