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Bihar Exit Polls 2025: NDA's Clean Sweep, Mahagathbandhan to Shrink. The Big Takeaways

Exit polls show NDA likely winning 100-162 seats amid caste and youth unemployment factors influencing Bihar's 2025 assembly election outcomes.

  • On Tuesday, exit polls predict the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance will likely retain power in Bihar, with results for all 243-seat Bihar Assembly to be announced on November 14.
  • The RJD–JD split in 2015 left the National Democratic Alliance with the BJP and Janata Dal of Nitish Kumar facing the Rashtriya Janata Dal led by Tejashwi Yadav, backed by Congress.
  • A poll-of-polls shows the NDA projected between 130 and 167 seats with an average of 148.5, while individual exit polls from Matrize, P-Marq, Dainik Bhaskar and ABP estimate ranges favouring the alliance.
  • Most pollsters predict the coalition will comfortably clear the 122-seat majority threshold, implying Nitish Kumar, Bihar Chief Minister, will likely retain power if exit-poll trends hold.
  • Exit polls warn that the Jan Suraaj Party may win between 1 and 4 seats, while one outlier from Journo Mirror projects a possible Mahagathbandhan victory of 130–140 seats.
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ABP News broke the news in India on Tuesday, November 11, 2025.
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